Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.188042 0.200432 0.213416 0.228071 0.244193 0.261436 0.281333
2025-05-11 0.161243 0.179452 0.199755 0.224245 0.253216 0.286692 0.328735
2025-05-18 0.143618 0.164892 0.189716 0.221206 0.260645 0.309193 0.374746
2025-05-25 0.129691 0.152390 0.179800 0.215947 0.263322 0.324742 0.412961
2025-06-01 0.119843 0.143520 0.172935 0.213026 0.267673 0.341869 0.454667
2025-06-08 0.112129 0.136458 0.167425 0.210853 0.272145 0.358922 0.498047
2025-06-15 0.107596 0.132982 0.166062 0.213778 0.283516 0.386589 0.561402
2025-06-22 0.101011 0.126267 0.159753 0.209084 0.283123 0.396271 0.596991
2025-06-29 0.094324 0.118969 0.152098 0.201734 0.277860 0.397454 0.617825
2025-07-06 0.088750 0.112858 0.145678 0.195626 0.273795 0.399863 0.640877
2025-07-13 0.086536 0.111237 0.145431 0.198573 0.284054 0.426993 0.714849
2025-07-20 0.084481 0.109695 0.145152 0.201365 0.294208 0.455068 0.796490
2025-07-27 0.081627 0.106949 0.143067 0.201373 0.300046 0.476803 0.871481
2025-08-03 0.078508 0.103693 0.140072 0.199767 0.303066 0.493936 0.941284
2025-08-10 0.075499 0.100450 0.136909 0.197644 0.304948 0.509125 1.010719
2025-08-17 0.072172 0.096583 0.132584 0.193287 0.302358 0.514978 1.058461
2025-08-24 0.069543 0.093639 0.129526 0.190826 0.302991 0.527504 1.127444
2025-08-31 0.067246 0.091091 0.126945 0.188976 0.304552 0.542147 1.206842
2025-09-07 0.066086 0.090204 0.126917 0.191483 0.314648 0.576936 1.357969
2025-09-14 0.063594 0.087174 0.123314 0.187465 0.311493 0.581063 1.414126
2025-09-21 0.060765 0.083528 0.118573 0.181162 0.303247 0.572237 1.424694
2025-09-28 0.058304 0.080381 0.114530 0.175912 0.296778 0.566988 1.447008
2025-10-05 0.057555 0.079877 0.114779 0.178446 0.306571 0.602930 1.633358